Comments on: From The Puck Stops Here : Kings Lead The West

By: www

www — Sun, 29 Apr 2012 01:30:51 +0000

… [Trackback]…

[...] There you will find 69990 more Infos: mcsorleys-stick.com/from-the-puck-stops-here-kings-lead-the-west/ [...]…

By: car insurance quotes

car insurance quotes — Sat, 28 Apr 2012 14:58:34 +0000

… [Trackback]…

[...] There you will find 65107 more Infos: mcsorleys-stick.com/from-the-puck-stops-here-kings-lead-the-west/ [...]…

By: James

James — Wed, 16 Dec 2009 21:27:07 +0000

Interesting. Yet I get the sense that those bloggers aren’t actually watching any games but are checking standings and stats instead. That’s not a diss, but in the past anyone would be right 99% of the time simply by stating “they need better goaltending” or “the Kings are winning despite their goaltending”. That was true at the start of this season but as you pointed out, Quisp, the rise up the standings over the past few weeks has been in large part due to J. Quick stealing games for them.

If those guys were really paying attention, they would instead be saying “the Kings now have a bona-fide NHL goaltender who can keep them in, or steal , games when needed.” That is the real reason why they’re at the top right now.

By: quisp

quisp — Wed, 16 Dec 2009 19:25:42 +0000

That’s a great point, especially as it relates to shoot-outs. The outcomes of shoot-outs have been shown to be essentially random, with little to no correlation between the (generalized) skill of the shooter or goalie and the outcome. Obviously, the outcome is NOT random, so I guess we should say it’s “as if” it’s random. In the future, teams will get better at managing/coaching the shoot-out, and players may even be recruited specifically for their shoot-out skills (since after all shoot outs can make or break a bubble team, in terms of playoffs). but for now, it’s basically a coin-toss.

Since that’s the case, we can expect a regression to the mean. i.e. last year’s losses and this year’s wins will prove not to be the norm, as over time the Kings will regress to 50:50 in shoot-outs.

However, in so far as the outcome is not purely random, all of the usual intangibles come into play. And that’s where team maturity, confidence, etc., become a huge factor. And there’s little doubt that the team is more confident this year than any since 2001-ish.

By: BakoCAkingsCondorsGuy

BakoCAkingsCondorsGuy — Wed, 16 Dec 2009 19:00:00 +0000

Quispie:

I think there is a statistical abnormality in the Kings’ records in one goal games, the last two years. All the one goal losses last year contrast with the one goal wins this year.

Yes, there is significant improvement in this team, with the passing of one season for these generally young players. But, I wonder if the statistical extremes will even out next season.

Any way to analyze this statistically? I know that Bill James does it routinely for baseball seasons, his analysis isolating certain teams as flashes-in-the-pan. I don’t think this improvement is purely a statistical aberration. I think the Kings are simply a better team in 2009-2010 than in 2008-2009.

Can you help prove me right?