- Dallas has 89 points. They can reach 93 points by winning their last two games (against Nashville and St. Louis).
- The Kings have 93 points.
- If the Kings earn one point in either of their last two games, they make the playoffs by guaranteeing they will finish higher than Dallas.
- Dallas might still be able to top the Sharks or Coyotes and sneak in, but the Kings would be out of reach for them.
But what if the Kings lose both games in regulation?
- Kings would have 93 points.
- Sharks would have 96.
- Dallas could win both and make it to 93. They would prevail in the ROW tie-breaker with the Kings.
- Phoenix (currently at 93 points), would need only a point in their last two games to rise above the Kings.
- If the Coyotes also lost their remaining games in regulation, the Kings would prevail in the season series tie-breaker.
- Either the Kings need to earn one measly point, or:
- Dallas needs to blow one measly point.
- To put it another way, if the Kings lose out (0-2-0), and the Stars win out (2-0-0), the Kings don’t make it. Otherwise, they do.
Bonus tie-breaker stuff
- If Dallas wins both games, and the Kings and Phoenix both lose both games, all three teams would be tied at 93 points. In that case, Dallas would prevail over the Kings and Yotes in the ROW tie-breaker and the Kings would prevail over Phoenix in the season-series tie-breaker, so Phoenix would be the odd man out.
- It’s too bad Dallas has that one extra ROW, because if those three teams ended up tied in points and in ROWs, the head-to-head would become (per the tie-breaker rules) head-to-head-to-head (i.e. most points earned in games among the three tied teams). In that scenario, Dallas (13 points) would have been the odd man out, and the Kings and Coyotes (16 points each) would have proceeded to goal-differential to break their tie.
- The Kings currently have a 13 goal lead over Phoenix in goal-differential, so unless they were blown out by San Jose on a level unprecedented in human history, the Kings would prevail in that tie-breaker, in that alternate reality.
Blog Parrot Watch
- Having just posted this (9:55PM), I checked my very own “Kings Hive Mind” page and found that Rich Hammond wrote nearly exactly the same post an hour earlier, with the same language and most of the same conclusions. I guess I should read before I write. (Silver lining: at least the Hive Mind page works.)