Dare to dream: can the Kings catch the Ducks?

  • The idea of the Kings winning the Pacific had been so far-fetched even a couple of weeks ago that I put it almost entirely out of my mind.
  • Today I see that the Kings are just five points behind.
  • Each team has four games left.
  • If the Ducks win out, they will have 68 points. If the Kings win out, they will have 63 points.
  • The Kings play DAL, DET, MIN and SJS. The Ducks play EDM, EDM, VAN and PHX.
  • The Kings are currently up by two ROWs, the first tie-breaker.
  • If they end up tied in points and ROWs, the Kings won the season series, so the Kings would advance.
  • However, if the Ducks split their last four, they will win the division no matter what the Kings do.
  • If the Ducks go 1-3-0, the Kings would have to go 3-0-1 to catch them, and win the tie-breaker.
  • The odds of both those things happening in pretty slim.
  • However, if the Ducks insist on a collapse of historic Andy-Murray-firing proportions, the Kings may well catch them. (The Ducks go 0-3-1 or worse and the Kings go 3-1-0 or better.)
  • I expect the Ducks to be able to pull themselves together at least enough to get two points out of their last four games.
  • Short version: absent a historic melt-down by the Ducks coupled with a Kings hot streak, the Kings will finish somewhere in the 4th-6th range and the Ducks will be in #2 spot.
 

  5 comments for “Dare to dream: can the Kings catch the Ducks?

  1. Bill N.
    April 20, 2013 at 12:53 PM

    But like you said, even the thought of having this conversation a couple of weeks ago was ridiculous…

    • April 20, 2013 at 1:22 PM

      I was thinking along those lines, too, as I looked at the standings last night. Odds not good, but not inconceivable, either. I think the Ducks losing to Calgary made it easier to imagine.

      • Rental Man
        April 21, 2013 at 12:59 AM

        The Kings out-played the Ducks at the Pond two weeks ago. Had we won that game in regulation, we’d be just one point behind them. Had we won the shootout, we’d be three points back. It’s easy to say now that that result may have cost us the division.

  2. BringBackTheShieldJersey
    April 20, 2013 at 11:57 PM

    Either way, the Ducks are a team no one minds playing in the 1st round, while the Kings are a team that no one wants to face.

  3. Stephen
    April 21, 2013 at 7:15 AM

    If the Ducks can’t get two points out of three games with the Oilers and Coyotes, they have no business in the playoffs, let alone winning the division.

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