I’ve decided to go back to individual posts on points-blown, rather than a dedicated page. This way, each post’s standings will be preserved, rather than just disappearing into the ether as the standings are updated (which was a necessary feature of the dedicated page). Also, this way it’s easier to notify people when the standings…
I understand that the Columbus Blue Jackets not sucking is a major feel-good story. I get that people on TV have to have something to talk about. And I can see that the Blue Jackets have scratched and clawed their way up to 8th in the official standings. Here’s the problem:
Points-Blown page is updated, and shows: Columbus is much worse off than the official standings (and pundits) would have you believe. St. Louis is better off than the official standings say. This has mostly to do with the fact that Columbus has only 12 games left, and St. Louis has 15. Everyone else who is…
- Points-Blown standings are freshly updated.
- Everyone has either 14 or 15 games left, except for CBJ, which has 13.
- The Kings have 15.
- 54 points still appears to be the playoff threshold. At that point, the odds are 90% or better for nearly everyone in the West.
- At 53, odds drop to roughly 75% for everyone.
- At 52, it’s 50%.
- At 51, slim to none.
The Kings are done with the Hawks this (regular) season. The Hawks won 2 and the Kings won 1. Which of course means, the season series goes to: …no-one. It’s tied. Because the first game in Chicago didn’t count toward the tie-breaker. The Points-Blown standings have been updated. The Kings are four official points ahead…
But this is just a screen-shot. Real thing after the jump…
Kings and Canucks are tied in points, points-blown, and win-percentage. Kings have 16 ROWs; Canucks have 12. ROWs is the first tie-breaker. Canucks are ahead in the season series by 2 points. Today is the final game in the series. The Kings can neutralize that tie-breaker with a regulation win. The Kings won the first…
- Even having lowered my presumed playoff threshold to 54 points, there are several teams now on the verge of oblivion.
- I indicate those teams in the points-blown standings with the color red.
- They are PHX, NAS, CBJ and COL. And DAL and EDM are ready to join them.
- The column to consider is the one labeled “to 54,” which shows the record needed for each team to get to 54 points.
- The Kings need a record of 8-9-2.
- Last season, with 21 games left, the Kings were in 10th place, with a record of 27-22-12. Anaheim was 13th (26-25-10). Detroit was 1st (41-18-3).
- Chicago leads the conference in regulation wins, with 15. The Kings and Ducks are second, with 14 each.
- A glaring difference between Chicago and Anaheim, on one hand, and the Kings, on the other, is that Chicago and Anaheim have lost 2 and 3 games (respectively) in regulation, while the Kings have lost 10. And:
- Chicago and Anaheim have played 11 and 10 OT/SO games (respectively), while the Kings have played 3.
- The Kings have played more games that have ended in a regulation win or loss (24) than anyone else in the West. The average is 19.
- Points-earned in OT/SO: Chicago, 19; Anaheim, 16; Kings, 4.
- Jeff Carter, with his 17th goal in 23 games, is on a 60 goal pace for a normal 82 game season.
- The Kings’ victory over the Flames doesn’t count in the season series tie-breaker.
- Tomorrow’s game counts. The Kings are up 2 points on the Flames in the season series, and this is the last game between the two teams this regular season.
- The Kings are still 3rd in points-blown, and 5th in the official standings.
- The Flames have dropped to the bottom of the official standings, but in points-blown they’re 12th, and Columbus, despite their recent success, is still 15th.
- No-one has played as few games as the Kings and Flames, with 23.